Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 375.882696 426.294742 482.137450 548.787000 626.433146 714.347779 821.866429
2025-12-07 294.402193 358.982891 436.865702 538.507553 668.822862 831.871268 1053.802522
2025-12-14 251.370162 321.409845 410.763164 534.639679 704.338081 932.216537 1267.486040
2025-12-21 214.751012 284.690308 377.849841 513.230483 708.673284 986.503201 1422.262837
2025-12-28 199.139760 272.912706 375.182367 530.511772 766.216355 1120.213162 1711.455312
2026-01-04 187.692011 264.980546 376.043406 551.649494 830.662592 1271.818563 2054.073530
2026-01-11 173.296355 250.883366 365.834696 553.981579 865.115399 1379.858213 2342.822420
2026-01-18 157.778999 233.361379 348.309971 542.154367 874.088901 1445.642157 2567.400163
2026-01-25 144.693040 218.224927 332.765139 531.318189 882.542844 1510.495644 2800.596789
2026-02-01 138.380241 213.056019 332.373275 545.399434 935.682129 1662.711007 3233.834844
2026-02-08 129.808798 203.422996 323.643682 543.840448 959.825775 1763.348692 3580.182530
2026-02-15 121.447890 193.401890 313.277305 538.056438 974.924621 1847.856550 3907.946204
2026-02-22 115.116900 186.443897 307.802397 541.112318 1008.561952 1977.446903 4373.698203
2026-03-01 107.373457 176.468114 296.200197 531.467000 1015.652698 2052.488413 4727.432596
2026-03-08 101.263681 168.851852 288.117380 527.627807 1034.004980 2154.773161 5174.194553
2026-03-15 93.340982 157.426396 272.144515 506.546532 1012.919486 2163.928730 5376.221642
2026-03-22 91.157342 156.192439 274.954415 523.564759 1077.172730 2384.036529 6220.986548
2026-03-29 89.547049 155.864453 279.402165 544.378952 1152.849689 2645.897802 7266.414447
2026-04-05 85.852202 151.350152 275.352429 546.675214 1185.710204 2805.079999 8044.039648
2026-04-12 80.900864 144.106915 265.359447 535.029416 1183.578905 2871.621679 8540.284335
2026-04-19 76.437725 137.521171 256.202473 524.358880 1182.525215 2941.148682 9069.184388
2026-04-26 74.782017 136.303898 257.843540 538.224772 1245.173555 3201.428380 10366.787001
2026-05-03 71.731487 132.118172 253.026891 536.689674 1267.790104 3349.960818 11300.037105